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Clinical Study| Volume 23, ISSUE 6, P851-858, June 2023

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Cost effectiveness of implanting a prosthesis after anterior cervical discectomy for radiculopathy: results of the NECK randomized controlled trial

Open AccessPublished:February 10, 2023DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spinee.2023.02.003

      Abstract

      BACKGROUND CONTEXT

      In the treatment of cervical radiculopathy due to a herniated disc, potential surgical treatments include: anterior cervical discectomy (ACD), ACD and fusion using a cage (ACDF), and anterior cervical disc arthroplasty (ACDA). Previous publications yielded comparable clinical and radiological outcome data for the various implants, but research on their comparative costutility has been inconclusive.

      PURPOSE

      To evaluate the cost utility of ACD, ACDF, and ACDA.

      STUDY DESIGN

      Cost-utility analysis.

      PATIENT SAMPLE

      About 109 patients with cervical radiculopathy randomized to undergo ACD, ACDF, or ACDA as part of the NEtherlands Cervical Kinetics trial.

      OUTCOME MEASURES

      Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) estimated from patient-reported utilities using the EuroQol-5D questionnaire and EuroQol Visual Analogue Scale (EQ VAS), measured at baseline, 2, 4, 8, 12, 26, 52, and 104 weeks postprocedure. Societal costs including admissions to hospital (related and otherwise), GP visits, specialist visits, physical therapy, medications, home care, aids, informal care, productivity losses, and out of pocket condition-related expenses.

      METHODS

      The cost utility of the competing strategies over 1 and 2 years was assessed following a net benefit (NB) approach, whereby the intervention with the highest NB among competing strategies is preferred. Cost effectiveness acceptability curves were produced to reflect the probability of each strategy being the most cost effective across various willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds. Five sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of results.

      RESULTS

      ACDF was more likely to be the most cost-effective strategy at WTP thresholds of €20,000 to 50,000/QALY in all but one of the analyses. The mean QALYs during the first year were 0.750, 0.817, and 0.807 for ACD, ACDF, and ACDA, respectively, with no significant differences between groups. Total healthcare costs over the first year were significantly higher for ACDA, largely due to the higher surgery and implant costs. The total societal costs of the three strategies were €12,173 for ACD, €11,195 for ACDF, and €13,746 for ACDA, with no significant differences between groups.

      CONCLUSION

      Our findings demonstrate that ACDF is likely to be more cost-effective than ACDA or ACD at most WTP thresholds, and this conclusion is robust to most sensitivity analyses conducted. It is demonstrated that the difference in costs is mainly caused by the initial surgical costs and that there are only minimal differences in other costs during follow-up. Since clinical data are comparable between the groups, it is to the judgment of the patient and surgeon which intervention is applied.

      Keywords

      Background

      In the treatment of a cervical radiculopathy due to a herniated disc, the anterior approach via a discectomy is a commonly performed treatment. The most commonly used method to bridge the gap created by the discectomy is to fill it with a cage, with or without securing it with a plate, which eventually will allow the two vertebra to fuse. Theoretically, this increases the load on the adjacent disc levels which is hypothesized to induce pain, decrease functionality in the short term, and induce new complaints at the adjacent levels in the long term. Therefore, to keep the target level mobile, the cervical disc prosthesis was introduced.
      We previously reported on the 2-year clinical and radiological results of the NEtherlands Cervical Kinetics (NECK) trial, in which patients were (double-blindly) randomized to be subjected to anterior discectomy with a cage (ACDFusion), a prosthesis (ACDArthrodesis) or without an intervertebral device (ACD) in radiculopathy patients. It was demonstrated that neck disability, arm pain, neck pain, and quality of life were comparable in all three groups over a 2-year period [
      • Vleggeert-Lankamp CLA
      • Janssen TMH
      • van Zwet E
      • Goedmakers CMW
      • Bosscher L
      • Peul W
      • et al.
      The NECK trial: effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with or without interbody fusion and arthroplasty in the treatment of cervical disc herniation; a double-blinded randomized controlled trial.
      ]. Furthermore, no differences in reoperations, nor in radiological outcome, were reported and it was concluded that all three strategies yielded satisfactory results.
      Additionally, it was stated that the prosthesis is far more costly than the two intervertebral alternatives (cage and none), and that this should not be the preferred surgical solution. However, a proper conclusion on cost-effectiveness should consider more factors than merely the costs of the implant. In the current study, we present a cost-effectiveness analysis considering the first 2 follow-up years from a societal perspective. We consider costs of reoperations, visits to health care workers, medication costs (direct costs), loss of productivity (indirect costs), and relate these to the gain in quality of life in the three groups of patients.
      The vast majority of studies that have been published on the cost-effectiveness of ACDA versus ACDF are model-based studies or based on retrospective study designs [
      • Schuermans VNE
      • Smeets AYJM
      • Boselie AFM
      • Zarrouk O
      • Hermans SMM
      • Droeghaag R
      • et al.
      Cost-effectiveness of anterior surgical decompression surgery for cervical degenerative disk disease: a systematic review of economic evaluations.
      ]. Schuermans et al. [
      • Schuermans VNE
      • Smeets AYJM
      • Boselie AFM
      • Zarrouk O
      • Hermans SMM
      • Droeghaag R
      • et al.
      Cost-effectiveness of anterior surgical decompression surgery for cervical degenerative disk disease: a systematic review of economic evaluations.
      ] conducted an extensive review on cost effectiveness in cervical decompression surgery and identified only few studies that evaluated cost effectiveness based on data from blinded randomized trials. Furthermore, the risk of bias of the included studies was high to moderate, and numerous studies reported direct or indirect industry sponsorship [
      • Schuermans VNE
      • Smeets AYJM
      • Boselie AFM
      • Zarrouk O
      • Hermans SMM
      • Droeghaag R
      • et al.
      Cost-effectiveness of anterior surgical decompression surgery for cervical degenerative disk disease: a systematic review of economic evaluations.
      ]. The only included study which considered ACDF without plating concluded that it was cost effective, however, that evaluation did not adopt a societal perspective and had a small sample size (15 patients per group) [
      • Bhadra AK
      • Raman AS
      • Casey ATH
      • Crawford RJ.
      Single-level cervical radiculopathy: clinical outcome and cost-effectiveness of four techniques of anterior cervical discectomy and fusion and disc arthroplasty.
      ]. In conclusion, there is currently inconclusive evidence on the most cost effective cervical decompression strategy (particularly when comparing ACDA vs. ACDF) that is based on a societal perspective and quality data from randomized clinical trials.
      We conducted a cost effectiveness analysis alongside the three-arm NECK trial. One and 2-year costs and outcomes following ACD, ACDF, and ACDA were compared among patients with cervical radiculopathy.

      Methods

      Study design

      A cost-utility analysis of the NECK trial was carried out. The NECK trial was a three-arm multicenter double-blind randomized controlled trial (RCT), which investigated the effectiveness and costs of ACDA compared to ACD and ACDF [
      • Vleggeert-Lankamp CLA
      • Janssen TMH
      • van Zwet E
      • Goedmakers CMW
      • Bosscher L
      • Peul W
      • et al.
      The NECK trial: effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with or without interbody fusion and arthroplasty in the treatment of cervical disc herniation; a double-blinded randomized controlled trial.
      ]. The trial (Dutch Trial Register Number: NTR1289) was approved by the Central Medical Ethics Committee of the Leiden University Medical Center, the Medical Ethics Committee Noord-Holland, and the board of directors of the participating hospitals trial [
      • Vleggeert-Lankamp CLA
      • Janssen TMH
      • van Zwet E
      • Goedmakers CMW
      • Bosscher L
      • Peul W
      • et al.
      The NECK trial: effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with or without interbody fusion and arthroplasty in the treatment of cervical disc herniation; a double-blinded randomized controlled trial.
      ]. All participants provided written informed consent before entry into the study.

      Participants and interventions

      The NECK trial design and its effectiveness findings are described elsewhere [
      • Vleggeert-Lankamp CLA
      • Janssen TMH
      • van Zwet E
      • Goedmakers CMW
      • Bosscher L
      • Peul W
      • et al.
      The NECK trial: effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with or without interbody fusion and arthroplasty in the treatment of cervical disc herniation; a double-blinded randomized controlled trial.
      ,
      • Arts MP
      • Brand R
      • van den Akker E
      • Koes BW
      • Peul WC.
      The NEtherlands Cervical Kinematics (NECK) trial. Cost-effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with or without interbody fusion and arthroplasty in the treatment of cervical disc herniation; a double-blind randomised multicenter study.
      ]. Briefly, included participants (N=109) suffered from cervical radiculopathy due to single-level disc herniation (diagnosed at one of the participating hospitals) and underwent either ACD, ACDF, or ADCA. To be eligible for participation, patients had to be 18 to 65 years old, have had radicular symptoms for at least 8 weeks, and had past unsuccessful treatment with conservative therapy. Key exclusion criteria included absence of motion, very narrow intervertebral space (<3 mm), severe segmental kyphosis, symptoms of myelopathy, past cervical surgery, metabolic and bone diseases, neoplasm or trauma of the cervical spine, and severe mental disorders [
      • Vleggeert-Lankamp CLA
      • Janssen TMH
      • van Zwet E
      • Goedmakers CMW
      • Bosscher L
      • Peul W
      • et al.
      The NECK trial: effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with or without interbody fusion and arthroplasty in the treatment of cervical disc herniation; a double-blinded randomized controlled trial.
      ]. Patients were randomly allocated to one of three treatment arms after induction of anesthesia and allocation remained undisclosed to patients, the nursing department, and research nurses during the 2-year follow-up period.
      For patients in the ACDA group, an activC flat artificial cervical disc (Aesculap AG, Tuttlingen, Germany) was implanted using slight distraction and fluoroscopic guidance. For the ACDF group, an interbody polyetheretherketone (PEEK) cage, either filled with synthetic bone substitute or autologous bone (chips locally harvested), was placed under fluoroscopic guidance. For the ACD group, no intervertebral device was placed [
      • Vleggeert-Lankamp CLA
      • Janssen TMH
      • van Zwet E
      • Goedmakers CMW
      • Bosscher L
      • Peul W
      • et al.
      The NECK trial: effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with or without interbody fusion and arthroplasty in the treatment of cervical disc herniation; a double-blinded randomized controlled trial.
      ].
      As this was a three-arm trial, costs, outcomes, and cost-effectiveness probabilities were simultaneously compared between the three treatment groups (as opposed to choosing a single group as the reference).

      Outcome measures

      Quality-adjusted life-years

      Data on participants’ quality of life was gathered at baseline and seven other time-points (ie, 2, 4, 8, 12, 26, 52, and 104 weeks) over a 2-year period using the EuroQol 5-Dimension 3-Level questionnaire (EQ-5D-3L) and the EuroQol Visual Analogue Scale (EQ-VAS). The Dutch EQ-5D-3L tariff was used to calculate utility values for the health states described by the patients in the EQ-5D-3L questionnaire at each follow-up moment [
      • Lamers LM
      • McDonnell J
      • Stalmeier PFM
      • Krabbe PFM
      • Busschbach JJV.
      The Dutch Tariff: results and arguments for an effective design for national EQ-5D valuation studies.
      ]. These utilities and the EQ-VAS scores (rescaled to range 0-1) were then used to calculate quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for 1- and 2-year follow-up by calculating the area under the utility curves for each patient. The proportions of missing data for health utilities (EQ-5D-3L and EQ-VAS scores) increased from 2% at 8 weeks to 6% and 10% at 1 year and 2 years, respectively. Of the participants with missing 1-year utilities (n=6), four belonged to the ACD group.

      Costs

      Our base case analysis was from a societal perspective and had a time horizon of 1 year. Due to the short time horizon, costs and outcomes were not discounted. We analyzed 2-year data as one of the sensitivity analyses.
      Costs were calculated based on patient-reported questionnaires completed together with a research nurse at 8, 26, 52, and 104 weeks of follow-up. Data on patients’ healthcare-related resource use included admissions to hospital (related and otherwise), visits (ie, to medical specialists, general practitioners, and physical therapy), medications, home care, and aids. Nonhealthcare resource use and expenses included paid domestic help, informal care, and out of pocket condition-related expenses. In addition, patients reported their absenteeism from work during the follow-up intervals. The proportions of missing patient cost questionnaires at 8 weeks, 26 weeks, 1 year, and 2 years were 1%, 5%, 6%, and 10%, respectively. Of the participants with missing 1-year cost questionnaires (n=6), four belonged to the ACD group.
      We calculated costs in Euros based on patients’ resource use and expenses using Dutch reference unit prices and corresponding sources outlined in the Dutch manual for costing research [
      • Kanters TA
      • Bouwmans CAM
      • van der Linden N
      • Tan SS
      • Hakkaart-van Roijen L.
      Update of the Dutch manual for costing studies in health care.
      ,
      • Hakkaart-van Roijen L
      • van der Linden N
      • Bouwmans C
      • Kanters T
      • Tan S
      ]. In line with a societal perspective, healthcare costs also included patient time and travel costs required to receive health care. Prices were converted to 2020 values using the national consumer price index [
      Central Bureau of
      Statistics [in Dutch: Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek]. Dutch consumer price index 2019.
      ]. For the surgical procedures (including reoperations, if any), the estimated cost was the product of the surgery duration in minutes times the approximate cost per minute of operating rooms according to hospital financial records. Operating room costs included all usual operation costs (eg, surgeon, disposables, anesthesia) and excluded operation-specific costs such as blood products and prostheses. Therefore, based on the prosthesis and cage costs at the time of the trial (updated to 2020 Euros), the amounts of €2107 and €421 were added to the operation costs for ADCA and ADCF, respectively. Finally, all reoperations were ACDFs regardless of initial group allocation and reoperation costs were calculated accordingly.
      Productivity costs due to absenteeism or reductions in working hours were estimated using the friction cost method in the base case, with a friction period of 12 weeks and average productivity costs of €34.75 per hour, according to Dutch guidelines [
      • Versteegh M
      • Knies S
      • Brouwer W.
      From good to better: new Dutch guidelines for economic evaluations in healthcare.
      ]. We calculated productivity costs based on the human capital method in one of the sensitivity analyses.

      Statistical analysis

      We assessed the cost effectiveness of interventions following an intention-to-treat principle on all analyses. To address potential biases due to missing data, we used multiple imputation by chained equations with predictive mean matching to produce 100 imputed datasets [
      • Schafer J.
      Multiple imputation: a primer.
      ,
      • White IR
      • Royston P
      • Wood AM.
      Multiple imputation using chained equations: issues and guidance for practice.
      ]. Besides the imputed variables, the covariates included in the imputation regressions were group allocation, sex, baseline EQ-5D-3L utility, duration of symptoms, smoking status, and pain severity (measured using a visual analogue scale). We then tested for between-group differences in mean costs and QALYs using linear regression and applying Rubin's rules [
      • Li K-H
      • Meng X-L
      • Raghunathan T
      • Rubin D.
      Significance levels from repeated p-values with multiply-imputed data.
      ,
      • Rubin DB.
      Multiple imputation for nonresponse in surveys.
      ]. All analyses were conducted using STATA version 17 (StataCorp, LLC).
      The cost effectiveness of the competing strategies was assessed following a net benefit (NB) approach. From this perspective, an intervention is considered more cost effective when it has the highest NB among competing strategies for a given willingness to pay (WTP) threshold, where NB=(WTPxinterventionQALYs)interventioncosts. To address the statistical uncertainty surrounding these calculations and better accommodate the distributions of costs, NBs were calculated based on 1,000 nonparametric bootstrap replications per imputation dataset [
      • Mutubuki EN
      • el Alili M
      • Bosmans JE
      • Oosterhuis T
      • Snoek F J.
      • Ostelo RWJG
      • et al.
      The statistical approach in trial-based economic evaluations matters: get your statistics together!.
      ]. Additionally, as the NECK trial's effectiveness results reflected a between-group imbalance in baseline EQ5D utility (ie, baseline EQ-5D-3L utility was higher in the ACDF group), we adjusted total mean costs and QALYs for this imbalance in each bootstrapped calculation by including the baseline EQ5D score in each regression [
      • Mutubuki EN
      • el Alili M
      • Bosmans JE
      • Oosterhuis T
      • Snoek F J.
      • Ostelo RWJG
      • et al.
      The statistical approach in trial-based economic evaluations matters: get your statistics together!.
      ,
      • Hoch JS
      • Briggs AH
      • Willan AR.
      Something old, something new, something borrowed, something blue: a framework for the marriage of health econometrics and cost-effectiveness analysis.
      ]. We explored the effect of adjusting costs and outcomes for baseline EQ-5D-3L utility in the sensitivity analyses.
      Based on the bootstrapped estimates of NBs, cost-effectiveness acceptability curves were produced to represent the probability of each intervention being cost effective over the other strategies at various willingness-to-pay thresholds. Specifically, these probabilities represent the proportion of times (across all bootstrapped replications) that each strategy had the highest NB for a given WTP threshold [
      • Fenwick E
      • Claxton K
      • Sculpher M.
      Representing uncertainty: the role of cost-effectiveness acceptability curves.
      ].
      We carried out five sensitivity analyses to evaluate the robustness of our results. Specifically, analyses were repeated from a healthcare sector perspective, using a time horizon of 2 years, EQ-VAS utilities instead of EQ-5D-3L utilities, unadjusted costs and QALYs (for 1 and 2 years, separately), and using the human capital approach to estimate productivity losses.

      Results

      Utilities and QALYs

      Overall, similar trends in QoL were observed for the three groups during the 2-year follow-up period (Fig. 1), regardless of the utility measurement method (ie, Dutch EQ-5D-3L index score or EQ-VAS utilities). However, mean utilities were consistently lower in the ACD group compared to other groups during the follow-up periods in the first year, although differences were not statistically significant. Based on the Dutch EQ-5D-3L, the mean QALYs during the first year were 0.750, 0.817, and 0.807 for the ACD, ACDF, and ACDA groups, respectively, with no significant differences between groups.
      Fig 1
      Fig. 1(A) Utility curves based on the EQ-5D-3L and Dutch tariffs over 2 years of follow-up. (B) Utility curves based on the EQ-VAS over 2 years of follow-up. EQ-VAS, EuroQol Visual Analogue Scale measuring quality of life; EQ-5D-3L, EuroQol Five-Dimension Three-Level instrument measuring quality of life.

      Costs

      Healthcare costs

      The mean costs per patient of initial treatment (ie, surgery, materials, and hospital stay) were significantly higher for ACDA (€5,624) compared to ACD and ACDF (€2,619 and €3,067, respectively). This difference was driven by both the additional prothesis costs for ADCA and an approximately 30 minutes longer average surgery duration. Costs related to hospital admissions (approximately 2 days in all groups) and reoperations did not differ significantly between strategies (Table 1). Furthermore, besides costs for neurosurgeon visits which were significantly higher in the ACD arm, no other significant differences in healthcare costs were observed between groups during the first year.
      Table 1Resource use and mean costs
      Pooled estimates based on 100 multiply imputed datasets with covariates: group allocation, sex, baseline EQ-5D-3L utility, duration of symptoms, smoking status, and pain severity.
      per patient during the first year after ACD, ACDF, and ACDA
      ACD (n=38)ACDF (n=36)ACDA (n=35)p value
      Volume (%)Cost (€)Volume (%)Cost (€)Volume (%)Cost (€)
      Initial treatment
      Treatment1001,1851001,6821004,112<.001
      Hospital stay1001,4341001,3851001,513.259
      Total (SE)2,619 (106)3,067 (110)5,624 (109)<.001
      Repeated surgery within 1 year
      Surgery + cage51523406126.620
      Hospital stay5103336638.608
      Total (SE)255 (130)76 (134)164 (136).631
      Other healthcare costs
      Physical therapy659776079354669.628
      Other admissions to hospital713517169428.421
      Neurologist245528942032.175
      Neurosurgeon651964310748100.035
      Other specialists9775010068891657.759
      General practitioner7415453835682.099
      Home care & aids4514556304.319
      Drugs774860666424.302
      Total health care costs (SE)5,193 (396)5,197 (402)7,681 (405)<.001
      Nonhealthcare costs
      Domestic help, informal care, and OOPs313302727121182.619
      Productivity costs (friction costs)826,650775,727695,883.724
      Total nonhealthcare costs (SE)6,980 (880)5,998 (908)6,065 (912).685
      Total societal costs (SE)12,173 (1,041)11,195 (1,070)13,746 (1,077).244
      low asterisk Pooled estimates based on 100 multiply imputed datasets with covariates: group allocation, sex, baseline EQ-5D-3L utility, duration of symptoms, smoking status, and pain severity.
      Total healthcare costs over the first year were also significantly higher in the ACDA arm, largely due to the initially higher treatment costs which were not sufficiently compensated for across other cost categories (Table 1). That said, the significantly higher costs for neurosurgeon visits in the ACD arm, as well as its (nonsignificantly) higher mean costs for physical therapy, specialist visits, and GP visits drove the total healthcare costs of ACD closer to the costs of ACDF (€5,193 and €5,197, respectively).

      Societal costs

      Total nonhealthcare costs (ie, mean productivity costs and other indirect expenses) were similar across strategies and differences were not significant (Table 1). Combining healthcare and nonhealthcare costs, the total societal costs in the first year were in favor of ACDF, although differences between groups were not significant (€12,173 for ADC, €11,195 for ACDF, and €13,746 for ACDA).

      Cost-utility analysis

      Given its higher QALYs and lower societal costs during the first year, ACDF was more likely to be cost effective than ACDA or ACD across all WTP thresholds considered (ie, up to €80,000/QALY), regardless of whether costs and outcomes were adjusted for baseline imbalances in utilities (Fig. 2). Based on adjusted estimates (Fig. 2), the probability of ADCF being the most cost-effective strategy is highest (62%) at a WTP of €22,000/QALY and then decreases slowly with higher WTP thresholds. Conversely, the probability of ACDA being the most cost-effective strategy increases with increasing WTP thresholds, although ACDA is never preferred over ACDF in the base case (this occurs only at unrealistically high WTPs above €120,000/QALY).
      Fig 2
      Fig. 2Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves based on adjusted and unadjusted costs and QALYs over 1 year. Dashed lines correspond with probabilities calculated using unadjusted (for baseline EQ-5D-3L) costs and QALYs.
      For comparison, Table 2 contains crude versus adjusted societal costs, health sector costs, and QALYs over 1 and 2 years. Additionally, Table A.1 contains detailed costs per category over 2 years.
      Table 2Comparison of adjusted
      Adjusted for baseline EQ-5D-3L score based on Dutch tariff.
      versus unadjusted mean costs and outcomes of strategies
      ACDACDFACDA
      Unadjusted mean (SE)Adjusted mean (SE)Unadjusted mean (SE)Adjusted mean (SE)Unadjusted mean (SE)Adjusted mean (SE)
      Outcome
      Pooled estimates based on 100 multiply imputed datasets with (additional) covariates: group allocation, sex, baseline EQ-5D-3L utility, duration of symptoms, smoking status, and pain severity.
      One-year QALYs
      Based on Dutch EQ-5D-3L tariff.
      0.75 (0.03)0.67 (0.04)0.82 (0.03)0.70 (0.05)0.81 (0.03)0.72 (0.04)
      Two-year QALYs
      Based on Dutch EQ-5D-3L tariff.
      1.56 (0.06)1.39 (0.08)1.63 (0.06)1.38 (0.10)1.62 (0.06)1.42 (0.09)
      Costs
      Pooled estimates based on 100 multiply imputed datasets with (additional) covariates: group allocation, sex, baseline EQ-5D-3L utility, duration of symptoms, smoking status, and pain severity.
      One-year societal costs12,173 (1,041)13,594 (1,448)11,195 (1,070)13,306 (1,865)13,746 (1,077)15,419 (1,608)
      One-year health sector costs5,193 (396)5,879 (545)5,197 (402)6,216 (698)7,681 (405)8,489 (600)
      Two-year societal costs13,986 (1,180)16,152 (1,625)13,438 (1,204)16,657 (2,088)15,160 (1,217)17,711 (1,799)
      Two-year health sector costs6,391 (571)7,739 (771)6,623 (565)8,626 (969)8,601 (579)10,189 (836)
      low asterisk Adjusted for baseline EQ-5D-3L score based on Dutch tariff.
      Based on Dutch EQ-5D-3L tariff.
      Pooled estimates based on 100 multiply imputed datasets with (additional) covariates: group allocation, sex, baseline EQ-5D-3L utility, duration of symptoms, smoking status, and pain severity.
      Most sensitivity analyses yielded similar results to the base case (Figs. A.1–A.5). The probability of ACDF being the most cost-effective strategy increased further when QALY calculations were based on the EQ-VAS (Fig. A.1) and when the human capital approach was used to calculate productivity costs (Fig. A.2). On the other hand, in the sensitivity analysis adopting a healthcare perspective (ie, omitting nonhealthcare costs, Fig. A.3), ACD was initially more likely to be cost effective for WTP thresholds up to €10,000/QALY, after which ACDF again becomes the preferred strategy.
      The only sensitivity analysis that resulted in ACDA being the most favorable intervention was the adjusted 2-year costs analysis (Fig. A.4). In this analysis, the probability of ACD being the preferred strategy is initially slightly greater compared to ADCF or ACDA at WTP thresholds less than €13,000/QALY. However, ADCA gains preference over the other strategies at WTP thresholds above €13,000/QALY. This is largely due to the slightly higher adjusted QALYs for ACDA at 2 years (Table 2). These trends are in contrast to the equivalent CEAC based on unadjusted 2-year costs and QALYs, where ACDF remains most likely to be cost effective across all WTP thresholds (Fig. A.5).

      Discussion

      In addition to the clinical and radiological outcome data that were published on the NECK trial [
      • Vleggeert-Lankamp CLA
      • Janssen TMH
      • van Zwet E
      • Goedmakers CMW
      • Bosscher L
      • Peul W
      • et al.
      The NECK trial: effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with or without interbody fusion and arthroplasty in the treatment of cervical disc herniation; a double-blinded randomized controlled trial.
      ], this cost-effectiveness analysis yields the conclusion that there is also no economic benefit from implanting a cervical disc prosthesis. There were no significant differences in total (societal) costs and QALYs across the three treatment arms over 1 and 2 years, although total healthcare costs were significantly higher in the ACDA arm. Overall, ACDF is likely to be more cost effective than ACDA or ACD at most WTP thresholds, and this conclusion is robust to nearly all the sensitivity analyses conducted. Importantly, the lack of statistically significant differences in societal costs and outcomes does not necessarily translate into all strategies being equally cost-effective [
      • Glick HA
      • Briggs AH
      • Polsky D.
      Quantifying stochastic uncertainty and presenting results of cost-effectiveness analyses.
      ]. As the net benefit calculation explicitly incorporates the tradeoff between costs and outcomes (ie, with their corresponding confidence limits), the CEACs presented in this study reflect the probability that a given strategy, given its distributions of costs and outcomes, would produce the highest net benefit among competing alternatives for a given WTP threshold.
      One key implication of our findings is that the excess costs associated with ACDA may not be justifiable given its similar clinical/radiological effectiveness compared to ACDF. Specifically, our findings and those from our effectiveness study [
      • Vleggeert-Lankamp CLA
      • Janssen TMH
      • van Zwet E
      • Goedmakers CMW
      • Bosscher L
      • Peul W
      • et al.
      The NECK trial: effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with or without interbody fusion and arthroplasty in the treatment of cervical disc herniation; a double-blinded randomized controlled trial.
      ] provide no strong evidence that the prosthesis (ACDA) performs better, yields better clinical or radiological outcome data, decreases the likelihood for a subsequent surgical intervention on the target or adjacent level, nor that it is more cost effective. These conclusions are consistent with those from Bhadra et al. [
      • Bhadra AK
      • Raman AS
      • Casey ATH
      • Crawford RJ.
      Single-level cervical radiculopathy: clinical outcome and cost-effectiveness of four techniques of anterior cervical discectomy and fusion and disc arthroplasty.
      ] but in contrast to several other studies identified in Schuermans et al. recent review [
      • Schuermans VNE
      • Smeets AYJM
      • Boselie AFM
      • Zarrouk O
      • Hermans SMM
      • Droeghaag R
      • et al.
      Cost-effectiveness of anterior surgical decompression surgery for cervical degenerative disk disease: a systematic review of economic evaluations.
      ]. One explanation for these differences may be that few studies so far have been based on blinded RCTs that were not funded by industry and which adopted a societal perspective. Additionally, the detailed healthcare and nonhealthcare cost data collected through the NECK trial enabled a more exhaustive cost-utility assessment; the omission of certain cost categories likely influenced results of several existing studies [
      • Schuermans VNE
      • Smeets AYJM
      • Boselie AFM
      • Zarrouk O
      • Hermans SMM
      • Droeghaag R
      • et al.
      Cost-effectiveness of anterior surgical decompression surgery for cervical degenerative disk disease: a systematic review of economic evaluations.
      ]. Finally, the available evidence on the cost effectiveness of ACDA in comparison to ACDF mainly comes from studies in which the ACDF procedure consisted of a cage with a plate. Only one of the available studies considered ACDF as cage without a plate [
      • Bhadra AK
      • Raman AS
      • Casey ATH
      • Crawford RJ.
      Single-level cervical radiculopathy: clinical outcome and cost-effectiveness of four techniques of anterior cervical discectomy and fusion and disc arthroplasty.
      ]. Adding a plate to the ACDF procedure increases the costs of a cage implant (with plate and matching screws) to a more or less comparable level as the prosthesis.
      Recently, clinical outcome data of the 5-year follow-up NECK were reported [
      • Goedmakers CMW
      • de Vries F
      • Bosscher L
      • Peul WC
      • Arts MP
      • Vleggeert-Lankamp CLA.
      Long-term results of the NECK trial: implanting a disc prosthesis after cervical anterior discectomy cannot prevent adjacent segment disease. 5-years clinical follow-up of a double-blinded randomised controlled trial.
      ]. It was concluded that ACDA and ACDF perform equally well on the long term, but that the performance of ACD declines, mainly with regard to the patient perceived recovery. As no specific data on medication, paramedical treatment and productivity were gathered during the third to fifth year of follow-up, a detailed cost-effectiveness study on these years was not possible. However, based on available follow-up data (Table A.2), there were no significant differences in EQ5D scores after 5 years. Additionally, the number of reoperations was comparable across groups between 2 and 5 years of follow-up (1 in the ACDA group, 2 in the ACDF group, and 2 in the ACD group, Table A.3). Thus, considering that surgical costs represented the largest category of healthcare costs, it would be reasonable to expect the 5-year cost effectiveness estimates to yield broadly the same conclusions as this 2-year analysis.
      Our findings should be interpreted in view of this study's limitations. Although this study is representative of the Dutch context, the generalizability of our findings to other settings may be limited. Naturally, the prosthesis and cage costs attainable in other settings may influence cost-effectiveness estimates. It is also worth noting that ACDF using allograft, which was not part of the NECK trial but saves the costs of a cage, may be preferred if it results in sufficiently comparable outcomes.
      In line with the existing literature on statistical methods for trial-based economic evaluations, adjustment for baseline imbalances in EQ-5D-3L utility notably influenced results [
      • Mutubuki EN
      • el Alili M
      • Bosmans JE
      • Oosterhuis T
      • Snoek F J.
      • Ostelo RWJG
      • et al.
      The statistical approach in trial-based economic evaluations matters: get your statistics together!.
      ]. Although it is still uncommon to control for confounders and baseline QoL in economic evaluations, the importance of doing so is increasingly being recognized as such factors may strongly influence costeffectiveness estimates [
      • Mutubuki EN
      • el Alili M
      • Bosmans JE
      • Oosterhuis T
      • Snoek F J.
      • Ostelo RWJG
      • et al.
      The statistical approach in trial-based economic evaluations matters: get your statistics together!.
      ,
      • Manca A
      • Hawkins N
      • Sculpher MJ.
      Estimating mean QALYs in trial-based cost-effectiveness analysis: the importance of controlling for baseline utility.
      ]. In this study, adjustment for baseline EQ5D utility only influenced overall conclusions in one of the sensitivity analyses (ie, looking at 2-year costs and QALYs). The relevance of the baseline imbalance in EQ-5D-3L utility in the NECK trial is debatable as it was likely due to chance (given the double-blind randomization) and because no such imbalance was present in baseline EQ-VAS utilities. Moreover, we were conservative in our decision to adjust QALYs and costs for baseline utility, and there is no clear consensus on whether costs should also be adjusted for baseline utility. When only QALYs are adjusted for in the 2-year sensitivity analysis, ACDF remains the preferred strategy up to a WTP threshold of about €36,000/QALY, after which ACDA gains preference.

      Conclusion

      In this cost-utility analysis, ACDF was likely to be more cost-effective than ACDA or ACD over 2 years of follow-up. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that this conclusion is robust to most alternative approaches/scenarios considered. The difference in costs is mainly caused by the initial surgery duration and prosthesis, and there are only minimal differences in the costs during follow up which likely extend beyond 2 years based on preliminary available data. Since clinical data are comparable between the groups, it is to the judgment of the patient and surgeon which intervention is applied, although ACDF is likely to be the most cost effective strategy.

      Declarations of Competing Interests

      One or more of the authors declare financial or professional relationships on ICMJE-TSJ disclosure forms.

      Acknowledgments

      No funding was received for this costeffectiveness study. The NECK trial was an investigator initiated study, partially funded by B. Braun Aesculap. The study was carried out by the Leiden - The Hague Spine Intervention Prognostic Study (SIPS) group without any interference of BBraun.

      Appendix. Supplementary materials

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